Monday, February 17, 2025

The Failure of Modern Decency™ : Saks Global takes the Fall?




i. What happened

Valentine’s Day 2025- WSJ runs an article entitled,” Saks Warns Suppliers They Will Have to Wait for Payments: Luxury retailer moves to reassure vendors after merger with Neiman Marcus (WSJ 2/14/2025 byline Lauren Thomas

Which tells of a promise (?) to pay bills for new orders within 90 days and past due payments to be paid in 12 installments  starting in July  . That means that vendors who are owed money February 2025 (however old the debt) cannot expect to be repaid until July 2026.

What was not stated was the original due date of these orders. According to other news sources including the Wall Street Journal state that these problems have gone back at least more than 2 years. That journal cites an Australian company named Luna Bronze that shipped 5 orders between July and October 2023, and got paid for none of them.

The same article also states that:

 “Reports of Saks stiffing suppliers surfaced last year. The retailer had been conserving cash as it negotiated to buy rival Neiman Marcus. The $2.65 billion acquisition, announced in early July, is awaiting approval from the Federal Trade Commission. 

The deal irked vendors to whom Saks still owes payment. ‘You have the money to do an acquisition, but you can’t pay the people that you owe?’ Shnitzer-Bartocci said. ‘They sold the merchandise we’ve given them. They’ve made money on it, and yet they still haven’t paid us back.’” 

Saks response to inquiries: 

“The Saks spokeswoman said funds that support operations or vendor payables wouldn’t be used to finance its Neiman Marcus acquisition." 

Does that statement make the problem better or worse?

Not paying vendors on time (or at all), whether it is Saks or anyone else, is a selfish and reprehensible practice, no doubt. Think about it: If Saks’ customer didn’t pay their bills, and told Saks that they were just going to have to wait and would pay over 12 months (without interest, I assume), would Saks accept that? Especially after the customer has taken possession of the item and used it?

I am going to assume that Saks did not pay a deposit of any sort to their vendors when they placed their order. Let’s assume they ordered some apparel from a foreign country. The vendor should pay for all the materials, labor, packaging and at least preparation for shipping on their own nickel. If we assume a processing time of 90 days and shipment of 30 days, plus Saks proposed 90 days from receipt term, even on time payments will be 210 days, or 7 months, for the vendor to bear. IF paid on time.

Saks is calling attention to itself, after the much-glorified merger, but it is by no means alone in not paying its vendors on time or at all. To Saks’ credit, at least they are addressing the problem. Further investigation would be pointless, but I would like to hear from the retailers that are actually paying on time. That could be a deafening silence.

ii. What is the problem?

So, what’s the problem? Answer: The Failure of Modern Decency™.

First, what is Modern Decency™? It is a term I coined, and later incorporated into my university Playbook (non-textbook learning), The Way of the Unicorn(C), to signify an attitude and best practices which are the opposite of Modern Slavery:

Modern Decency™ is: Running your business and living your life in a manner that considers all people in all countries as the same as you: deserving of respect, fair compensation, and a living wage; they, as you, have the desire and the right to preserve our planet for future generations. 

Modern Slavery is defined as: “when an individual is exploited by others, for personal or commercial gain. Whether tricked, coerced, or forced, they lose their freedom. 

Wait. Isn’t it a bit extreme to accuse Saks and others who either pay their vendors late or don’t pay of Modern Slavery?

You decide. If someone orders something and doesn’t pay for it or doesn’t pay as agreed, is this not exploitation?

As I said before, it is not just Saks. If anything, their (eventual) transparency sets them above those who just don’t pay and, if confronted, lie about the outcome. What is wrong is the selfish and greedy mindset that considers the factory or supplier something on a level lower than the buyer. 

This mindset has become institutionalized. Let’s look at some internet definitions of Global Sourcing:

* Global sourcing is the act of searching for a domestic or foreign manufacturer to produce a product. 

* Global sourcing refers to a procurement strategy that a business uses to find the most cost-effective location for manufacturing one or more of its products (Upcounsel.com)

* it is the process of sourcing goods and services from the international market across geopolitical boundaries. It aims to exploit global efficiencies such as lower cost skilled labor, cheaper raw materials and other economic factors like tax breaks and low trade tariffs. (Purchasing Procurement Center)

* Global sourcing refers to buying the raw materials, components, or services from companies outside the home country. In a flat world, raw materials are sourced from wherever they can be obtained for the cheapest price (including transportation costs) and the highest comparable quality. (saylordotorg)

a. What’s the problem with these definitions?

1. Cost-effective. That’s it? Just cost?

2. Exploit? OMG. Cheaper? So exploitation to achieve a cheaper price is the goal? Yeah, it says global efficiencies but that is a BS term that legitimizes taking advantage of low wages and bad working conditions.

3. Cheapest price and highest comparable quality? First, price and quality almost always have a linear relationship; second, compared to what? And which wins, price or quality? 

What is my definition of Global Sourcing?

The practice of planning, developing, manufacturing, and shipping products from the location(s) that are optimal according to Comparative Advantage;

Developing partners who can work with you over the long term for mutual benefit of workers, employees, and customers;

The solemn responsibility of providing beneficial work to peoples in other countries for a fair price and wage;

The even more solemn responsibility of making sure these workers are treated fairly and not abused in any way, and that local and global laws and social standards are obeyed.

iii. Why the current situation sucks and needs to change

How many times have I heard buyers refer to the supplier as “the factory” as if it is an inanimate object, not a group of people working to make something for a fair wage? Too many.

Are factories not of a level that they can expect the simple quid pro quo: You buy. I sell. You pay. You get. 

Because they are a supplier and not a buyer, are they somehow lower order of being? 

If I give you something before you pay, I trust you to pay later. If you don’t, I lose trust. (So what, right? There is always another factory that will accept my order and doesn’t know my history of paying)

What makes the situation worse is when sellers continue to take orders despite already being owed past due debts. They are afraid to lose the customer, but is a customer who doesn’t pay really worth having? Financially, Dignity-wise, the answer is no. But in doing so, they reward the buyer's behavior.

Here’s the worst part: Do you think that those business owners who got stiffed on their payments will pay their workers what they are owed, on time? After all, they did what they were hired to do, right? So now buyer mistreatment works its way into the kitchen.

We have always paid a deposit, usually 30%, when our orders are placed. This gives us skin in the game, and vendors know it. It also strengthens our negotiation position on future orders.

Why does it need to change? There are plenty of factories out there, right? Am I being too soft? 

If we are in business for the long term, our success as retailers, wholesalers etc. depends on the same factors as those of our final customers: Trust, loyalty, integrity, quality, dependability. The quality of those factors add up to CLV (Customer Lifetime Value), which is everyone’s goal. 

We can also say that Sustainable Value Creation is the goal of every investor. Stiffing vendors or causing them problems that result in workers getting F**ed, will be a route to buying from the vendors who are looking for one-order stands and don’t care too much about relationships or their workers. Those vendors who care about relationships and profitable business over the long term will not be willing partners until the above relationship factors are built.

Finally, no matter whether our vendors are in a foreign country or our own, they deserve to be treated decently with the same standards we would apply to our company and family. Why? Because that is the DECENT way to do business. 

As I said in my definition of Global Sourcing, suppliers need to be treated as equals, deserving of the same respect as buyers want. Not paying is a sign of disrespect. Ordering more when you can’t pay is the same.

I believe that the only difference between those who do and don’t pay, be it Saks or another buyer, is mindset. Paying their suppliers should be priority one for a retailer, because without suppliers their shelves and floors are empty. Fair play cannot be discarded temporarily. Either you are an honest businessperson, or you aren’t.

That and terribly poor merchandising.(if you buy something, or a lot of somethings, that don’t sell, it’s you who made the bad choices, not your supplier). But that’s another story.

(C)Michael Serwetz 2025




Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Lotus: My Year of Flowers: a video

 



This video chronicles a full year of flowers in our garden. Each of the flowers (more than 50) shown was nurtured by us using only cow manure, water and love. 

Can you count them?

As always, we wear Lotus & Michael clothing to do--everything.
The poem Lotus is calligraphing and translates to English in the video is called "The Burial of Fallen Flowers" which echoes our sadness at losing the flowers' beauty until next year. But now, with Spring on the horizon, we are happy to anticipate, rebirth, regrowth, recycle and natural beauty that is new every year.

Give us your feedback- which flower do you like the best?

Lotus is wearing our modern use for an ancient flower as our statement in fabric that is 100% from plants and free of toxins: our chrysanthemum-embroidered, plant-dyed CPO shirt, "Captain Chrysanthemum"
https://www.lotusandmichael.com/products/captain-chrysanthemum-lotus-cpo-shirt

As always, kindred styles for men and women. Multifunctional. Sustainable. Original design and artisanal quality.

Read our modern tale about the origins of chrysanthemum in our blog: “Persistence of Chrysanthemums":
https://www.lotusandmichael.com/blogs/news/persistence-of-chrysanthemums

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Visit our YouTube Channel-- www.youtube.com/@lotusandmichael

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Big Name Luxury brands vs. Lululemon: Is Lululemon a Luxury Brand?


VS.

Big Name Luxury brands vs. Lululemon: Is Lululemon a Luxury Brand?

Sometimes, when you are mindlessly (not really, just your reasoning mind) attracted or addicted to something, it takes a strong jolt to change.

Neuromarketers tell us that the brain establishes associations based on images and memories which allows it to have kneejerk reactions to stimuli. For example, if I have been buying and drinking the same bourbon for years because my father drank it and the memories of him led me to adopt it as well, what is it going to take for me to change?

Some kind of kick in the ass. What has it been that is leading people to think twice about or stop buying big name luxury brands?

We know that during and after the pandemic luxury brand sales soared, led by China. Then the China economy slowed drastically, led by the real estate collapse, while the US and other Advanced economies were hit by inflation, which saw prices soaring and wealth shrinking.

So what did many luxury brands do? The opposite of what they should have done. Rather than hold their position in an inflationary universe, signaling that they were a good investment after all, they raised prices while not maintaining quality standards.

That was the kick in the ass. Think about it: you are a customer in China who felt free to spend lavishly on luxury brands (maybe you even took a trip to Hong Kong to save duty), now your investments, including your apartment (which was the sign of having arrived or soon to be arriving in China) have crashed. Maybe you graduated from university and you can’t find a job at all, not just the job you hoped for but any job? In order to work, you may have to “lie flat” by taking a job that you would never have considered in the past. What’s your position on buying luxury goods (that you don’t need) now?

Or, you are a customer in the US or Europe who are having to pay multiple times what you did for basic items; it seems nothing is holding price. Even if you are aflluent or a HENRY (High Earner Not Rich Yet), you cannot help but notice what is going on because it affects every part of your life. The worst part is that you have no control over how high the inflation will be or how long it will last; this is complicated by the fact that brands will hold on to high prices after inflation subsides because a. they can and b. they are not in control of it either.

In the midst of all this, some companies brilliantly take advantage of global inflation by creating marketplaces for crap at ridiculous prices. Of course we are talking about Temu and Shein. This not only lowers the floor, but also sends an irresistible signal to everyone that price is the key factor for competition. Now, we are in a 70% off world.
So what do the big luxury brands do in the face of these megatrends? They raise prices and let quality slip.

 Now you are a customer and can’t help but think WTF, what am I doing buying stuff I don’t need for double the price when my eggs also doubled? The growth of Real Real and Vinted shows that there is still a market for these types of goods, but its real value price is lower.

So what happens then? Neurologically, your automatic memory association is broken, and what used to be automatic becomes a serious matter for consideration, and the lizard-brain images are overruled by the cortex, saying nonono not so fast.

Is price and discounting the answer? Certainly raising price is counterintuitive, but how do you keep the memory associations going and avoid becoming irrelevant (the last nail in the coffin for all brands)?

Let’s look at Lululemon for the answer to that question. What? Lululemon? How can I speak of this brand in the same breath as Chanel, Louis Vuitton, Hermes etc.

For the few of you who may not know, Lululemon Athletica was founded in 1998 in Vancouver, BC, Canada by Chip Wilson, who sought to find comfortable athletic wear for women by using better materials, emphasizing quality and functionality. Soon after it entrance into the US market in 2003, the brand took on an iconic image and women started to wear it outside the gym. So a limited-use item gained a tremendous boost in functionality.

The Wall Street Journal reports in January 2025 “that it now expects revenue to be between $3.56 billion and $3.58 billion, representing a growth of between 11% and 12% over the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023.” i

Nice. Compared to anything in 2024. But why?

According to Google’s AI overview in response to the query ‘Lululemon comparative pricing,’ “Lululemon's pricing strategy is to position itself as a premium brand with higher prices than many of its competitors. Lululemon's prices are based on the value that customers place on the quality and functionality of its products.”

Further, in response to the same query, Google reports that, compared to competitors:
Discounts
Lululemon rarely lowers its base prices by more than 20 or 30%, while its competitors often promote discounts of at least 40%. 
Price consistency
Lululemon's core products, like leggings and sports bras, have remained at average price points since 2017. 
Similar products
Other brands, like Nike, Under Armour, Gymshark, and Adidas, have made similar leggings to Lululemon. 
Lululemon's competitive advantages 
Exclusive materials: Lululemon uses exclusive clothing materials in its products.
Innovation and research: Lululemon has innovation and research hubs in Vancouver, Canada, and New York, United States, where it develops unique fabric and clothing designs.

And what about Quality? An August, 2024 article by the website Eightception states:

“What Makes lululemon Unique?
In a word? Quality. Their products are born out of rigorous research, innovation, and a relentless focus on meeting customer needs. Stylish? Check. Comfortable? You bet. And these aren’t just for fitness fanatics. You’ll see people rocking lululemon at meetings, grocery stores, even on dates.” ii

Do you smell a formula here? Premium quality. Affordable luxury (there are lots of other similar products on the market buy Lululemon holds serve). Multifunctionality. Honest pricing. 

Can Lululemon be considered a luxury brand it its market? Yes, because it is not necessary to buy Lululemon product in its genre, including from Shein and Temu. But it has customer trust and prestige for what it is. It is not and never will be a Chanel, but it doesn’t need to be. Without compromise, it continues to stand on top of its category. If Lululemon pulled the shenanigans that the luxury brands have, it too would be spurned. 

Customer trust is the key to loyalty.

So what’s the point here? After I brazenly compared Chanel et. al. to Lululemon, how does this portend for the future of luxury and the luxury customer? 

Simple. The basic elements of luxury marketing don’t change: In the luxury market, a good’s price is determined by its value (in the minds of consumers), not the other way around (value determined by price). 

Think about it: Customers who are treasure-hinting at TJX have the same mentality as those who are buying Chanel these days, but on the opposite end of the spectrum. The TJX customer is motivated by how cheap they can find a treasure for, while the Chanel customer figures that because not many people can afford it, an item’s inflated price adds value. Do both of these make sense to you?

The Future and the Hope.

Clear-eyed customers will see what determines value is NOT necessarily price, but all the positive qualities a Lululemon has— the very same as those that we have built Lotus & Michael with.

It’s your future. Your money. What will you spend it on?


 i Wall Street Journal 1/13/2025, “Lululemon Raises Quarterly Revenue, Profit Targets,” https://www.wsj.com/business/retail/lululemon-raises-4q-revenue-profit-targets-45737582?mod=WTRN_pos2&cx_testId=3&cx_testVariant=cx_166&cx_artPos=1
  ii Eightception.com 8/19/2024, “Lululemon’s Competitive Advantages and Strategy,” https://eightception.com/lululemon-competitive-advantages-and-strategy/






 

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